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The Political Economy
of Growth: Democracy and Human Capital (with David Lake)
Democracy is more than
just another brake or booster for the economy. We argue that there are
important indirect effects of democracy on growth through public health
and education. Where economists use life expectancy and education as proxies
for human capital, we expect democracy will be an important determinant
of the level of public services manifested in these indicators. In addition
to whatever direct effect democracy may have on growth, we predict an important
indirect effect through public policies that condition the level of human
capital in different societies. We conduct statistical investigations into
the direct and indirect effects of democracy on growth using a data set
consisting of a 30-year panel of 128 countries. We find that democracy has
no statistically significant direct effect on growth. Rather, we discover
that the effect of democracy is largely indirect through increased life
expectancy in poor countries and increased secondary education in non-poor
countries. You can download this article from JSTOR here. A replication dataset for this article is available for download as a zipped Excel file here.
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