Research Interests
  American foreign policy, international security, mass media
  and politics, political communication, political psychology,
  democratic crisis behavior, the American presidency.

  Peer-Reviewed Publications

       BOOKS

• Soft News Goes to War: Public Opinion and American Foreign Policy in the New Media Age . 2003. Princeton N.J.: Princeton University Press.

• War Stories : The Causes and Consequences of Public Views of War. 2009. Princeton: Princeton University Press. With Tim Groeling. Draft Website.
  • Read a review in Foreign Affairs (Sep/Oct 2010).
  • Here's a review from Public Opinion Quarterly (published online 9/15/10)
  • Read an article I wrote based on research from the book in Nieman Reports: "Trust and Perception: Powerful Factors in Assessing News About War" (September 2010).
  • Watch an interview on the book I did for the Sky Network cable TV outlet "Press TV" here. (The Show is called "The Autograph".)

       JOURNAL ARTICLES

• Women and Pre-Tenure Scholarly Productivity in International Studies: An Investigation into the Leaky Career Pipeline.2013. International Studies Perspectives (forthcoming). (with Kathleen Hancock and Marijke Breuning).

• “The Iraq Coalition of the Willing and (Politically) Able: How Party Systems, the Press and Public Influence on Foreign Policy.” 2013. American Journal of Political Science 57(April): 442-458. Abstract, Replication Data, and Supplemental Appendix.

• Red State, Blue State, Flu State: Media Self-Selection and Partisan Gaps in Swine Flu Vaccinations. 2011. Journal of Health, Policy, Politics and Law  36(December): 1021-1060.

• The Democratic Peace, Domestic Audience Costs, and Political Communication. 2010. Political Communication 27:4: 453-470. With Phil Potter. Abstract

• Reality Asserts Itself: Public Opinion on Iraq and the Elasticity of Reality. 2010. International Organization 64 (July): 443-79. With Tim Groeling. Abstract.

• Shot by the Messenger: An Experimental Examination of the Effects of Party Cues on Public Opinion Regarding National Security and War. 2009. Political Behavior 31(June): 157-186. With Tim Groeling. Abstract.

• Journalists' Incentives and Coverage of Elite Foreign Policy Evaluations. 2009. Conflict Management and Peace Science 26(November): 437-470. With Tim Groeling. Abstract.

• New Media and the Polarization of American Political Discourse. 2008. Political Communication 25:4: 345-365. With Tim Groeling. Abstract.

• Crossing the Water's Edge: Elite Rhetoric, Media Coverage and the Rally-Round-the-Flag Phenomenon, 1979-2003. 2008. Journal of Politics 70(October): 1065-1085. With Tim Groeling. Abstract.

• In the Eye of the Beholder: How Information Shortcuts Shape Individual Perceptions of Bias in the Media. 2008. Quarterly Journal of Political Science 3:1: 1-31. W ith Phil Gussin. Abstract & Data .

• The Relationship Between Mass Media, Public Opinion and Foreign Policy: Toward a Theoretical Synthesis. 2008. Annual Review of Political Science, Volume 11: 39-66. With Phil Potter. Abstract.

• Soft News and Foreign Policy: How Expanding the Audience Changes the Policies. 2007. Japanese Journal of Political Science 8(1): 109-138. Abstract.

• The Oprah Effect: How Soft News Helps Inattentive Citizens Vote Consistently. 2006. Journal of Politics 68(November): 946-59. (with Angela Jamison) Abstract & Supplemental Appendix

• Talking the Vote: What Happens When Presidential Candidates Hit the Talk Show Circuit. 2005. American Journal of Political Science 49(April): 213-234. Abstract & Data

• Going Private: Presidential Rhetoric and the Domestic Politics of Audience Costs in U.S. Foreign Policy Crises. 2004. Journal of Conflict Resolution 48(October) : 603-631. Abstract & Data

• How Public Opinion Constrains the Use of Force: The Case of Operation Restore Hope. 2004. Presidential Studies Quarterly 34(June):187-226. Abstract

• Circling the Wagons: Soft News and Isolationism in American Public Opinion. 2004. International Studies Quarterly 48(June): 313-338. Abstract

• Soft News and Political Knowledge: Evidence of Absence or Absence of Evidence? 2003. Political Communication 20(April): 173-190. Abstract  

• The Political Economy of Growth: Democracy and Human Capital . 2003. American Journal of Political Science 43 (April): 333-347 (with David Lake).  Abstract & Data  

• Sex, Lies and War: How Soft News Brings Foreign Policy to the Inattentive Public . 2002. American Political Science Review 96 (March): 91-109. Abstract & Data  

• The Constituent Foundations of the Rally-Round-the-Flag Phenomenon . 2002. International Studies Quarterly 46 (June):263-298. Abstract & Data  

• The Invisible Hand of Democracy: Political Control and the Provision of Public Services . 2001. Comparative Political Studies 34 (August): 587-621. (with David Lake) Abstract & Data  

• Economic Class and Popular Support for Franklin Roosevelt in War and Peace. 2001. Public Opinion Quarterly 65(Summer): 198-229. (with Sam Kernell) Abstract & Data  

• Has Cable Ended the Golden Age of Presidential Television?    1999. American Political Science Review 93 (March): 1-16. (with Sam Kernell)  Abstract & Data  

      BOOK CHAPTERS

• Partisan Media and Attitude Polarization: The Case of Healthcare Reform. 2012. Coglianese, Cary, Ed., Regulatory Breakdown: The Crisis of Confidence in U.S. Regulation, Ch. 6, pp. 118-142.

• “Media, Public Opinion, and Presidential Leadership.” 2011. In Berinsky, Adam, Editor, New Directions in Public Opinion, Ch. 12, pp.258-270. New York: Routledge.

• Preaching to the Choir or Converting the Flock: Presidential Communication Strategies in the Age of Three Medias. 2011. In Fox, Richard and Jennifer Ramos, eds., iPolitics: Citizens, Elections, and Governing in the New Media Age, Ch.7, pp. 183-205.Cambridge, Cambridge University Press.

• Soft News and The Four Oprah Effects. 2011. Oxford Handbook of American Public Opinion and the Media. Jacobs, Lawrence and Robert Shapiro, eds. Oxford: Oxford University Press (forthcoming). (With Angela Jamison.)

• How Cable Ended the Golden Age of Presidential Television: From 1969-2006. 2006. In Samuel Kernell and Steven S. Smith, eds., The Principles and Practice of American Politics. Washington D.C.: Congressional Quarterly Press. (with Samuel Kernell)

• What Gets Covered?: How Media Coverage of Elite Debate Drives the Rally-'Round-the-Flag Phenomenon, 1979-1998. In In the Public Domain: Presidents and the Challenges of Public Leadership. Han, Lori Cox and Diane Heith, editors. 2004 (with Tim Groeling).

• The Communications Revolution and the Political Use of Force. In Technology, Development, and Democracy: International Conflict and Cooperation in the Information Age . 2002. Allison, Juliann E., editor. New York: SUNY Press. Chapter 6, pp.131-159.

      DISSERTATION

• Tabloid Wars: The Mass Media, Public Opinion and the Decision to Use Force Abroad . 2000. Doctoral Dissertation . University of California, San Diego.

• Filtering Revolution: Reporting Bias in International Newspaper Coverage of the Libyan Civil War (with Yuri Zhukov)

• What Determines the News About Foreign Policy? Newspaper Ownership, Crisis Dynamics and the 2011 Libya Uprising (with Yuri Zhukov)

• Looking for Audience Costs in all the Wrong Places: Electoral institutions, Media Access, and Dispute Resolution (with Phil Potter).

• War Through Red- and Blue-Colored Glasses: Partisan News Self-Selection and Public Opinion on the NATO Intervention in Libya (with Tim Groeling).

• The Longest War Story: Elite Rhetoric, Public Opinion, and the War in Afghanistan (with Tim Groeling).

• Emotions, the Horserace Metaphor and the 2008 Presidential Campaign (with Ann Crigler, Marion Just, and Jesse Mills).

• Foreign Policy Views and U.S. Standing in the World (with Henry Nau).

• Bandwagon an Underdog Effects in the 2008 Presidential Primary Campaign: A Survey Experiment (with Marion Just).

• Issue Bias: How Issue Coverage and Media Bias Affect Voter Perceptions of Elections. ( with Phil Gussin). Abstract.

• Getting the Message: Information Transparency and the Domestic Politics of Militarized Disputes. Abstract

• Political Scandal, Gender, and Tabloid News: An Experimental Examination of the Evolutionary Origins of Consumer Preferences for Scandalous News (with Martie Haselton and Tim Groeling). Abstract

• Playing to the Crowd: Public Opinion and the Initiation of Trade Sanctions (with Angela O'Mahony and Michael Hiscox). Abstract

• Public Opinion and the Domestic Politics of Congressional Trade Sanctions (with Angela O'Mahony and Michael Hiscox). Abstract

• Sanctioning in the Shadow of War: The Interdependence of Economic Sanctions and the Use of Military Force. (with Angela O'Mahony and Michael Hiscox).

• Trade and Conflict in the Cold War Era: An Empirical Analysis Using Directed Dyads (with Neal Beck). Abstract