Terrorism in America
Card Talk
And the Winner Is...
Keeping Faith
September 11, 2001

Biological Agents

Chemical Agents

Facts About Terrorism

 

Gearing up for future attacks has become
a new priority

On normal days, the Chelsea Piers Sports and Entertainment Center, located between 17th and 23rd Streets on Manhattan’s lower West side, is jam-packed with people climbing rock walls, swimming laps, skateboarding along flat rails, and shooting hoops.

But Tuesday, September 11, was anything but a normal day for the complex — or the entire nation — as two hijacked jets crashed into the twin towers of the World Trade Center, obliterating them from the city’s skyline and turning lower Manhattan into a war zone. On that day, within just hours of the disaster, Chelsea Piers had become a makeshift triage center. Inside, a warehouse was transformed into an emergency trauma unit. Giant television lights were gathered from the production studio to light the room. Picnic tables draped with sheets became operating tables, 100 in all. Doctors, nurses, and New York University medical students, a sea of blue scrubs, waited for the injured to come pouring in.

They never did.

Thousands of World Trade Center workers and visitors, as well as firefighters, police, and EMTs who arrived at the scene within minutes of the first jet crash, never made it out, presumed dead from the fiery blaze of the explosions or buried under the tower floors, which collapsed like stacks of pancakes, one on top of the other.

Nonetheless, Chelsea Piers was prepared. In fact, the entire city was prepared. A city of tall buildings and American symbols, New York had been attacked before and those who worked behind the scenes knew it could likely happen again. And so on that “stunning and dark day,” as NBC newscaster Tom Brokaw would later describe it, New York set in motion the emergency response plan that it had carefully crafted after the 1993 World Trade Center bombing. Almost as if it were only a drill and not a real-life emergency of the magnitude that most could never have imagined, tunnels, bridges, and surrounding streets were shut down under the order of New York Governor George Pataki and the direction of Mayor Rudolph “Rudy” Giuliani; command centers and triage units, like the one at Chelsea Pier, sprung into action; backup personnel flocked to the scene; fire and police stations communicated with one another; security was heightened; volunteers were organized; and calm prevailed during chaos.

This level of readiness, say experts at the Kennedy School who have been at the forefront of a new — and sadly, now timely — subset of the terrorism field called “domestic preparedness,” is not by chance.

“What happened in New York is not a case of ‘This is a horrible tragedy and we’re going to spring into action,’” says Arnold Howitt, executive director of the Taubman Center for State and Local Government and co-director of the school’s two-year-old Executive Session on Domestic Preparedness, which serves as a resource for government officials interested in reducing the threat of terrorism and minimizing the vulnerability of democratic societies to its effects. “New York has been thinking about this seriously since the bombing of the World Trade Center in 1993. So while New York has responded with heroism and extraordinary efforts that should never be forgotten, it’s important to remember that had they not been prepared, there could have been emergency groups running all over the place.”

Multiple agencies on the scene, particularly in a stressful situation, can lead to confusion about who’s doing what. In Colorado, for example, after two students went on a shooting spree at Columbine High School in April 1999, 1,000 emergency responders were gathered at the school from 6 sheriffs’ offices, 20 police departments, a dozen fire units, as well as a handful of federal agencies. Three separate SWAT teams, each with members who had never worked together, were inside the school, simultaneously looking for armed gunmen wearing fatigues — a description that actually described themselves.

The lesson from traumatic incidents, says Howitt, is that all cities around the country — small or big — need to be prepared. Unfortunately most, he says, are not. This may change, of course, in the aftermath of the most recent terrorist attack, the deadliest to date on American soil, with more than 6,000 dead or missing.

But prior to the latest attack, says Juliette Kayyem, co-director of the executive session and a former member of the National Commission on Terrorism, most people didn’t believe it would happen to them. “Until recently, no one viewed homeland America as a risk. Throughout most of our history, America sat idly by and condemned terrorism, but we were never the key target.”

Even New York wasn’t always as prepared as it thankfully is today. The city became more focused, as did other potential hot spots like Chicago and Washington, DC, after the 1993 World Trade Center attack, followed two years later by the bombing of a government building in Oklahoma City.

“This side of the Atlantic suddenly seemed to be exposed to political violence of the sort that the United States had escaped while other democracies had not,” writes Harvard Professor Philip Heymann in Terrorism and America.

Still, as terrible as these events were, many Americans remained complacent about domestic terrorism.

“The World Trade Center bombing in 1993 was a shock, but a first of its kind, a one-off. We rebuilt, we prosecuted, and we moved on with a resurgent sense of American invulnerability,” wrote New York Times correspondent Bill Keller, one day after the September attack. Oklahoma City, which involved 168 deaths, including many children, also didn’t serve as a wake-up call because the terrorist was a lone wolf, a home-grown American, not a highly organized, well-funded group willing to die for their cause.

The experts involved in the nation’s domestic preparedness field, which was created during the Clinton administration in the mid-1990s, even continued to debate the rights and wrongs of pouring money and time into preparing for something that most agreed might never happen again.

“The ‘likeliness’ debate was strong until Tuesday,” says Kayyem, referring to the most recent attack. “People said the domestic preparedness program was overfunded, a way to justify bloated budgets. Now that debate is totally over. Unfortunately.”

 

Learning Lessons

In many ways, that likeliness debate had already been bypassed at the Kennedy School when Assistant Professor Richard Falkenrath conceived the idea to start a new project in the wake of Oklahoma City and the first World Trade Center attacks. Falkenrath, now with President Bush’s National Security Council, was certain that the nation needed to take preparedness seriously, so he contacted the Department of Justice to see if it would be interested in funding a project at the school that would help the federal government think through how best to develop state and local government capabilities and to integrate them into a coherent national plan for domestic terrorism. The department was interested. Falkenrath conferred with Howitt, who had state and local expertise, and the duo started the executive session.

Today the multiyear project is directed by Howitt and Kayyem and run jointly by the Taubman Center and BCSIA. Like other executive sessions held at the school, the project brings together hands-on practitioners from across the country — firefighters, police chiefs, and sheriffs — as well as mayors, medical administrators, and military officers to develop and promote ideas with Kennedy School faculty and staff on how state and local government, with the support of federal agencies, can become better prepared.

The project, which has met four times and may meet again in November, has started to disseminate its findings through a series of policy papers and articles. It also uses a Harvard original, the case study, “to help us figure out gaps in the system and where to plug them,” says Howitt. One case study on the LA riots following the Rodney King verdict, for example, showed the group how confusing a situation can become when it unexpectedly grows violent. A case on a 1998 Anthrax hoax in Southern California raised the question of how to balance public safety with a need for public reassurance. Two new case studies have been commissioned for future study, including one on Chicago’s heat wave epidemic in 1995, and one on terrorist scares as the clock counted down to the year 2000.

So how will the latest attacks change the course of the school’s project, as well as the nation’s overall domestic preparedness program? Many say it’s too soon to tell. But most agree that there has been a sea change in America and that in preparing for terrorism, the question will no longer be “Why?” but “How?”

For starters, New York City’s strategy will most likely be studied and used in other areas of the country.

“Some of the issues that New York faces are very different than what other cities have to face, but when everyone has time to catch their breaths and assess what went right and wrong in New York, then I think the city will become the model for the rest of the country on how to be prepared,” says Kayyem.

That includes making emergency preparedness a priority, say Howitt, noting that after the 1993 World Trade Center bombing, Giuliani aggressively devoted money and resources into creating a central emergency management office, geared toward improving coordination and communication among city agencies who often have differing roles during disasters and may rarely ever work together during non-disasters. The city also recruited top emergency response managers and actively trained personnel at all levels.

Key to this model, says Howitt, is that the city wisely invested in what is known in the field as the “all-hazard” approach to emergency response. The idea is to prepare “first responders” — fire fighters, police officers, EMTs and other medical personnel first on the scene — to respond to terrorism the same way they’d respond to other disasters, such as floods, hurricanes, toxic spills, plane crashes, and fires.

“The reality is that local personnel often need to be self- sufficient for at least 24 hours before the feds come in,” says Leslee Stein-Spencer, chief of the Division of Emergency Medical Services and Highway Safety of the Illinois Department of Public Health and a member of the executive session.

In Cobb County, Georgia, for instance, the fire department employs the all-hazards approach to handle everyday hazardous material accidents.

“Our haz mat team — our lead responders — responds to calls for accident-released materials all the time,” says Fire Chief Rebecca Denlinger, another executive session member. “It doesn’t matter to them if it’s accidental or intentional from a terrorist threat.”

Therefore, creating a “generalized emergency response system” makes sense, says Howitt. “It’s prudent to improve the response capability for any disaster response so that the probability of it being ‘wasted’ on an event that may never happen is less likely.”

In addition, Denlinger would like to see the creation of one nationwide command center. “It’s apparent to me that unless all responsible agencies have an understanding of a similar command structure, we won’t understand or work well with each other,” she says. “We’ll be speaking different languages and have different expectations when we all arrive on the scene.”

It’s also important, says Stein-Spencer, to customize training to meet particular needs. Under the 1996 Defense Against Weapons of Mass Destruction Act (commonly known as the Nunn-Lugar-Dominici legislation), a week of terrorist response training is provided to state and local first responders. For those in the medical field, this time frame is often too lengthy for hectic schedules, particularly in areas facing a shortage of nurses. So some states, like Illinois, have come up with their own training program.

“Hospitals have been the weak link when it comes to preparedness,” says Stein-Spencer, who acknowledged that while New York medical personnel did a great job, that part of the equation was partially untested, due in part to the low number of casualties that might otherwise have overwhelmed the system. “When it comes to a mass casualty incident, if you just train people for weapons of mass destruction, you won’t get buy-in. But if you tie it to training for other potential disasters, there’s more interest.” Her group created a shorter program (four hours) that travels directly to the user. To date, they’ve trained about 700 nurses, doctors, and EMTs, and have produced a CD that hospitals can use for those who can’t make the training. Following the New York incident, she says, there was a surge of new interest in the training.

Executive session member Frannie Edwards-Winslow, director of the Office of Emergency Services for the city of San Jose, California, has also been using the all-hazards approach for years, in part because her earthquake-prone state understands all too well the importance of being ready. “It’s in our culture,” she says. Still, she acknowledges that after watching what happened in New York, she now sees holes in her city’s planning.

“Based on what happened, we now realize we need to stock more equipment. Hepa Filter [face masks], for example,” she says. “The police and firefighters have this equipment and know how to use it, but what about public works officials or heavy equipment operators? An engineer, instead of the usual shirt, tie, and pen clip, will be given goggles, gloves, and a filter. Because of New York, we’re now looking at who really would be first responders. It won’t just be fire, police, and medical, but going further and further into the city’s professions. We now realize we’ll be taking those people and putting them into new, hostile environments that they aren’t trained for.”

 

A New Focus?

Lessons from New York also go beyond training methods and equipment needs. They include the larger debate of what kind of threat to focus on, say executive session experts.

“We’ve spent so much time thinking about biological, chemical, and radiological agents when we think about weapons of mass destruction,” says Kayyem. “We thought the conventional terrorist days — the 1970s hijacking style — were over. But New York shows they’re not. We thought that terrorists would ratchet up their means of attack, but as we’ve seen, these old methods can and do have a tremendous impact. We need to rethink these conventional methods of mass destruction.”

According to a 30-year retrospective report on terrorism put out by the U.S. Department of Justice and the Federal Bureau of Investigation, the vast majority of terrorist attacks worldwide continue to be carried out using conventional methods, such as bombs, firearms, and limited-range rockets, compared to chemical, biological, and radiological weapons, collectively known as weapons of mass destruction. The report says that while cases involving weapons of mass destruction have increased since 1995, most incidents have been hoaxes.

Still, considering the enormous destructive possibilities — hundreds of thousands in one attack — unconventional threats can’t be dismissed. Biological warfare, for example, mostly involves living germs that are usually odorless, colorless, and highly potent. They can also spread easily and seep undetected onto airplanes, across sports stadiums, and throughout cities. Once detected, there wouldn’t be a defined area to respond to or quarantine. And affected individuals would slowly develop symptoms after exposure, many like coughs and fever that are similar to other diseases.

“Unlike a bomb blast, a biological attack has no epicenter,” says Howitt. “By the time a bio-attack is discovered, the victims, who might conceivably be contagious themselves, may have spread out throughout an area and perhaps gone many other places. And it could take days, even weeks, to detect.”

Joshua Lederberg, author of Biological Weapons, published by Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs (BCSIA), says that the medical community will play the biggest role if an attack does happen.

This worries Stein-Spencer. “You won’t have first responders. Instead, people will slowly go to their HMOs or hospitals complaining of various ailments,” she says. “Unless you have an astute medical person who can recognize what’s happened, then you could really have a major problem. Nationwide, we’re all struggling with this.” With the renewed interest of medical personnel in her state of being trained following the recent attack, she says they will be adding bioterrorism to their training program.

“It’s been an awakening for people,” she says, “so if you have an opening, you go for it.”

Luckily, biological agents are hard to weaponize and incredibly unstable, says Robyn Pangi MPP 2000, a research associate with the executive session. “This is one speculation as to why they’re rarely used,” she says. “Anthrax, for example, degrades very quickly under certain environmental conditions. In New York, the fire from the jet explosions was so hot that it melted the steel beams and would certainly have destroyed a biological agent, had it been aboard the plane.”

In addition, says Kayyem, it’s clear that future talks need to go from lofty and abstract, to concrete and real.

“It was much easier before this to think of terrorist attacks abstractly. We would talk about ‘worse-case scenarios’ during our executive sessions and it was easy to be objective and passive,” Kayyem says. “This shows that you can talk about issues of national security and state action, which seem so heady, but when it comes down to it, the people involved really are the East Side firefighters and others like them.”

Indeed says Graham Allison, director of BCSIA and a member of the executive session, “The success of the executive session lies in its recognition that the most effective counterterrorism strategy is one that focuses on the needs of state and local responders and how they will work with the federal government to ensure the safety of its citizens.”

Clearly, the danger that firefighters and other first responders face during disasters became all the more apparent after the recent attack on the World Trade Center. The “golden hour” — the window of time after a disaster strikes when emergency responders first on the scene can make the greatest difference and save the most lives — became the deadly hour for nearly 400 of New York City’s firefighters, police, and medical personnel who rushed to the towers within minutes of the first blast. Jack Fanning, chief of hazardous materials operations for the New York City Fire Department, was one of those who perished when the towers buckled. Fanning, a 30-year-veteran of the department, was a member of the Kennedy School’s Executive Session on Domestic Preparedness.

“Jack was an active and valuable contributor to the work of the session from its inception and one of the people in New York City government who was working to prepare for the possibilities of terrorism,” says Howitt. “He died tragically trying to save others from the reality of the terrorist attack whose threat he had long sought to avert.”

 

Seize the Moment

As New York and the nation continue trying to absorb the reality of this latest and most deadly terrorist attack on U.S. soil, experts like Kennedy School Professor Ash Carter see it as an opportune moment.

“We need to use this moment of public attention and concern to prepare the country better for this kind of threat,” says Carter, a member of the executive session and a former assistant secretary of defense for international security policy. For instance, “There is talk of increasing airline security to make it harder for terrorists to turn airliners into giant cruise missiles. The FAA has long succeeded in keeping guns and bombs off airplanes, but it is impossible to keep sharp-edged metal objects off planes. Prison inmates have demonstrated over centuries that a knife can be fashioned out of just about anything. Airline passengers cannot be asked to board naked. The key to preventing the type of takeover that apparently occurred is to put an armored Kevlar door behind the cockpit, possibly to arm the air crew, and to add software permitting pilots and controllers to lock the autopilot so the plane cannot be maneuvered if it is taken over.”

The moment can also be used to drive home what Howitt and the other members of the executive session will continue to focus on: making sure everyone is prepared.

“All places have industry or some historical monuments that could be vulnerable,” says Howitt. “Any particular place in the United States still has a low probability of being attacked by terrorists, but it’s prudent and wise to have a good emergency management system in place.”

This is particularly revealing this week, says lecturer Jessica Stern PhD 1992, a member of the executive session and author of The Ultimate Terrorist, because “We will never live in a completely risk-free society. We can’t protect America from everything. We do things that make the world angry. It’s clear our enemies know that it would be hard to take us on the battlefield and win, but on American soil, we’re vulnerable.”

“Clearly, there’s no foolproof antiterrorism strategy. We need to take that as a given,” Kayyem adds. “Then you ask, what can we do? The kinds of things the domestic preparedness program and the Kennedy School are trying to address, ultimately, we hope, will assist in curtailing terrorism and its affects.”

 

Click here for a list of the most recent reports and papers from the executive session.


photo: AP photo/Gino Domenico