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Citation:

Schröter, Dagmar et al. 2005. "Ecosystem Service Supply and Vulnerability to Global Change in Europe." Science 310(5752): 1333-1337. (First published online 27 October 2005; 10.1126/science.1115233, Science Express.)

Full Text:

This paper was published online 27 October 2005 through Science Express and is available free of charge to individuals with a subscription for Science Online.

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Abstract:

Assessing the likely affects of global climate change remains a high priority for all nations. Schröter et al. show how the pattern of Europe's vulnerability to global changes is likely to change in the 21st century caused by the decreased supply of ecosystem services such as plant growth, carbon sequestration, biodiversity, water, and soil fertility. They apply four climate models to Europe and combine them with socioeconomic and land use scenarios to project the evolution of a range of ecosystem services for the coming century, ranging from carbon sequestration to freshwater provisioning and biodiversity. The loss of these services is likely to be accentuated particularly in the Mediterranean and mountainous regions.

BBC News: ** Europe study shows climate risks ** Mediterranean and mountain regions of Europe will be hardest hit by changes set to affect natural resources. (27 October 2005)