Authors:

  • Robert Lawrence
This policy commentary examines the design and economic effects of President Donald Trump’s “reciprocal” tariffs implemented in 2025. Lawrence argues that the tariff formula fails to account for the structure of global value chains and disproportionately penalizes countries that rely heavily on imported intermediate inputs in their exports. The analysis highlights how modern production networks complicate traditional trade policy tools and warns that such tariffs may distort supply chains, raise production costs, and undermine the efficiency gains associated with international specialization.

Citations

Lawrence RZ. Trump’s “reciprocal” tariffs heavily penalize countries that use more imported inputs. Peterson Institute for International Economics. September 9, 2025.