2014: US Economic Prospects: Secular Stagnation, Hysteresis, and the Zero Lower Bound. Lawrence Summers, 2016, Book Chapter. "I would like to thank Michael Peterson very much for his generous words of introduction and for his thoughtful observations about the long-run economic challenges that our country faces. You do not, however, get to the long run except through the short run, and what happens in the short run has a profound impact on the long run. To reverse Keynes a bit, if you die in the short run, there is no long run. So my preoccupation this morning will be with a set of temporary but, I believe, ultimately long-term concerns." Link