Globalization and Chinese Growth: Ends of Trends? Jeffrey Frankel, January 26, 2016, Paper. "Two big questions from 20 years ago look somewhat different today. First, would the long-term trend of globalization continue? Contrary to all predictions, trade growth has slowed markedly since the Global Financial Crisis of 2008-09. But the feared increase in protectionism did not materialize, so one must look elsewhere for explanations. Two likely factors behind the slowdown in trade are a maturing of global supply chains and a slowdown in trade-intensive physical investment."