• Luis Viceira
  • Adi Sunderam
  • John Y. Campbell


Inflation Bets or Deflation Hedges? The Changing Risks of Nominal Bonds. John Y. Campbell, Adi Sunderam, Luis M. Viceira, January 15, 2013, Paper. "The covariance between U.S. Treasury bond returns and stock returns has moved considerably over time. While it was slightly positive on average in the period 1953–2009, it was unusually high in the early 1980s and negative in the 2000s, particularly in the downturns of 2000–2002 and 2007–2009. This paper specifies and estimates a model in which the nominal term structure of interest rates is driven by four state variables..." Link