Showing results 1 - 10 of 2886
| Alberto Cavallo
April 2021, Paper: "We use the structure of the Melitz (2003) model to compare the cost of living and welfare across countries, while incorporating product variety measured by the count of barcodes or firms. For 47 countries, we compare welfare relative to the United States to conventional measures of real consumption. Relative welfare is similar to or higher than that indicated by real consumption for a select group of nations in Europe and…
| Jason Furman | Willie Powell
May 17, 2021, Opinion: "he US economy lost a net of 8 million jobs between February 2020 and April 2021. Agreement is growing that people not actively seeking employment (inadequate labor supply) have been playing a major role in the slow recovery, as evidenced by factors including record job openings, the largest wage increases in decades, and other signs of a tighten labor market than would generally be expected given the still low levels of…
| Stefanie Stantcheva
2021, Paper: "Stefanie Stantcheva is a Professor of Economics at Harvard and founder of the Social Economics Lab. She studies the taxation of firms and individuals, as well as how people understand, perceive, and form their attitudes towards public policies."
Non-HKS Author Website - Stefani Stantcheva
| Jason Furman
May 12, 2021, Audio: "Jason Furman, Harvard University Aetna Professor of Economic Policy, says some states should start rethinking unemployment insurance. Alicia Levine, BNY Mellon Chief Investment Strategist, says a little bit of inflation is positive for Main Steet. Thierry Wizman, Macquarie Capital Director of Global Currencies & Interest Rate Strategist, is not positive on iron. Steve Ricchiuto, Mizuho Securities Chief U.S. Economist,…
| Dani Rodrik
May 11, 2021, Opinion: "US President Joe Biden's administration has embarked on a bold and long-overdue departure from the economic policy orthodoxy that has prevailed in the US and much of the West since the 1980s. But those who are seeking a new economic paradigm should be careful what they wish for."
HKS Author - Dani Rodrik
| Jason Furman | Willie Powell
May 7, 2021, Opinion: "The United States added 266,000 jobs in April while the unemployment rate rose slightly to 6.1 percent with the realistic unemployment rate, which adjusts for misclassification and the unusual decline in labor force participation, falling to 7.6 percent as more people entered the labor market. The economy was still 10 million jobs short of its pre-pandemic trend in April with the employment rate down 3.2 percentage points…
May 7, 2021, Opinion: "How high is the ongoing US fiscal expansion likely to push inflation? This column presents new evidence that underlying (weighted median) CPI inflation has so far steadily declined since the start of the COVID-19 crisis, broadly as predicted by its historical Phillips curve relation. If the ongoing fiscal expansion reduces unemployment to 1.5-3.5%, as some predict, underlying inflation could rise to about 2.5-3% by 2023.…
| Kenneth Rogoff
May 4, 2021, Opinion: "Addressing within-country inequality may be the political imperative of the moment. But tackling vastly greater cross-country disparities – especially those affecting the two-thirds of humanity living outside the advanced economies and China – is the real key to maintaining geopolitical stability in the twenty-first century."
Non-HKS Author Website - …
| Jeffrey Frankel
May 2, 2021, Opinion: "Richard Cooper, Robert Mundell, and John Williamson made important contributions on a variety of topics in international economics throughout their careers, particularly in terms of how we think about currency arrangements. This column reviews the work of all three, tracing their ideas and drawing lessons for policymakers today."
HKS Author - Jeffrey Frankel
| Ricardo Hausmann
March 2021, Paper: "Loreto is a place of contrasts. Located on the western flank of the Amazon jungle, it is by far Peru’s largest state in terms of size, but also among those with the lowest population density. Its capital, the city of Iquitos, sits on the western bank of the Amazon River, surrounded by tributaries Nanay and Itaya. It is closer to the Brazilian and Colombian borders than it is to the capitals of its nearest Peruvian neighbor…