Showing results 1 - 7 of 7
February 27, 2023, Opinion: "In recent months, wage growth has showed signs of slowing despite an extraordinarily tight labour market, which has presented a puzzle for standard…
August 30, 2022, Opinion: "In a recent paper published with Olivier Blanchard in July 2022, we argued that the Fed’s hope to cool the labor market through a decrease in job…
August 1, 2022, Opinion: "In March 2022, we predicted a high probability of recession over the next 12 to 24 months given the high level of inflation and low level of unemployment…
July 2022, Opinion: "The Federal Reserve seeks to cool an overheated US labor market to ease wage hikes and reduce job vacancies, without a painful spike in unemployment. But…
April 2022, Paper: "This paper uses historical labor market data to assess the plausibility that the Federal Reserve can engineer a soft landing for the economy. We first show…
March 15, 2022, Opinion: "As the Federal Reserve moves this week to raise interest rates by a quarter of a percentage point, there is much discussion over the likelihood that the…
March 12, 2022, Opinion: "Over the past week, there has been heightened concern over the price of gasoline associated with Russia's war in Ukraine."
HKS Faculty Author - Lawrence…