The goal of this course is to help you think more analytically, which I hope will lead you to better understand the world around you, make smarter personal and professional decisions, achieve better outcomes, and ultimately lead a more fulfilling life. A central premise of the course is that the world is full of uncertainty, and that using systematic approaches, frameworks and tools to deal with this uncertainty can be immensely helpful for individuals, teams, and organizations. The course will use a variety of approaches including interactive teaching, blended learning, case studies, simulations, learning journals, and a forecasting tournament. You will constantly be asked to apply what you learn in the course to personal, professional and policy situations. Course is intended for students with some basic background in probability and economics.