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Background/Objectives No data exist regarding the validity of International Classification of Disease (ICD)-10 dementia diagnoses against a clinician-adjudicated reference standard within Medicare claims data. We examined the accuracy of claims-based diagnoses with respect to expert clinician adjudication using a novel database with individual-level linkages between electronic health record (EHR) and claims. Design In this retrospective observational study, two neurologists and two psychiatrists performed a standardized review of patients' medical records from January 2016 to December 2018 and adjudicated dementia status. We measured the accuracy of three claims-based definitions of dementia against the reference standard. Setting Mass-General-Brigham Healthcare (MGB), Massachusetts, USA. Participants From an eligible population of 40,690 fee-for-service (FFS) Medicare beneficiaries, aged 65?years and older, within the MGB Accountable Care Organization (ACO), we generated a random sample of 1002 patients, stratified by the pretest likelihood of dementia using administrative surrogates. Intervention None. Measurements We evaluated the accuracy (area under receiver operating curve [AUROC]) and calibration (calibration-in-the-large [CITL] and calibration slope) of three ICD-10 claims-based definitions of dementia against clinician-adjudicated standards. We applied inverse probability weighting to reconstruct the eligible population and reported the mean and 95% confidence interval (95% CI) for all performance characteristics, using 10-fold cross-validation (CV). Results Beneficiaries had an average age of 75.3?years and were predominately female (59%) and non-Hispanic whites (93%). The adjudicated prevalence of dementia in the eligible population was 7%. The best-performing definition demonstrated excellent accuracy (CV-AUC 0.94; 95% CI 0.92–0.96) and was well-calibrated to the reference standard of clinician-adjudicated dementia (CV-CITL 0.001, CV-slope 0.97). Conclusion This study is the first to validate ICD-10 diagnostic codes against a robust and replicable approach to dementia ascertainment, using a real-world clinical reference standard. The best performing definition includes diagnostic codes with strong face validity and outperforms an updated version of a previously validated ICD-9 definition of dementia.


Moura, Lidia M. V. R., Natalia Festa, Mary Price, Margarita Volya, Nicole M. Benson, Sahar Zafar, Max Weiss, Deborah Blacker, Sharon-Lise Normand, John Hsu, and Joseph P. Newhouse. "Identifying Medicare beneficiaries with dementia." Journal of the American Geriatrics Society 69.8 (August 2021): 2240-2251.