National Tax Association 118th Annual Conference on Taxation
November 6, 2025
Abstract
US government debt is on a path that is almost surely unsustainable without significant changes in policy. Debt held by the public is now roughly equal to annual gross domestic product (GDP), a level that has been exceeded in the country’s history for only a few years near the end of the Second World War. Moreover, under current policies, annual deficits are running at about 6 percent of GDP, an amount of borrowing the country has never experienced apart from wars and economic downturns. Thus, the gap between federal spending and revenue is unprecedented.
Citation
Elmendorf, Douglas. "The Role of Policy Analysts in Addressing the US Fiscal Challenge." National Tax Association 118th Annual Conference on Taxation, November 6, 2025.