HKS Authors

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Abstract

While Donald Trump followed through on his campaign promise to raise tariffs sharply in 2025, the domestic economic impact was not as bad as many had feared. But there is good reason to think that the tariffs' adverse impact on inflation and employment was merely delayed – and could materialize with full force in the coming year.

Citation

Frankel, Jeffrey. "Why Haven’t Trump’s Tariffs Crashed the US Economy?" Project Syndicate, December 29, 2025.