New 2025 global growth projections predict China’s further slowdown

The economic pole of global growth has moved over the past few years from China to neighboring India, where it is likely to stay over the coming decade, according to new growth projections presented by researchers at the Center for International Development at Harvard University. The projections are based on a country’s economic complexity—a measure of productive capabilities that can be visualized in the online tool, the Atlas.

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Harvard Kennedy School's Evidence for Policy Design (EPoD) uses economic insights to inform the design, implementation and recalibration of policy solutions, working in close collaboration with local policy actors to help build governments that benefit all citizens.

More than 20 faculty members at Harvard Kennedy School teach and conduct research in the field of international development and growth, working on key policy questions ranging from financial inclusion to trade policy in approximately 70 countries—from Afghanistan to Zambia.

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For more than two decades, economist Dani Rodrik, Ford Foundation Professor of International Political Economy, has elucidated a dissenting view of international trade that has now become entirely mainstream.