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Crowd of Black Lives Matters demonstrators marching in the street.
Feature: The Democratic Necessity of Reckoning

Erica Chenoweth reviews scholarship that overwhelmingly shows the Black Lives Matter movement generated high levels of public awareness about systemic racism and increased support for criminal justice reform.

Electronic stock ticker board with numbers and arabic letters.
Feature: Against Rule-of-Thumb Economics

Dani Rodrik argues against neoliberalism’s universal rule-of-thumb approach and for economic analyses grounded in contextual dependencies.

Several hands of team members covering one another in a huddle above a work table.
Feature: Leaders’ Psychological Bravery

Dana Born explores what skills leaders need to cultivate psychological safety on their teams and across their organizations.

Dollars and Euros piled on top of one another.
Feature: Dollar vs. Euro as International Reserve Currencies

Jeffrey Frankel explores the strengths and weaknesses of using the Dollar and the Euro as international reserve currencies.

Harvard Kennedy School faculty disseminate their research in working publications and papers that contribute to public knowledge and fuel policy innovation. This list features recent faculty publications, including journal articles, books, edited volumes, research papers, and public testimony.

Faculty Publications

Homeward Bound: How Migrants Seek Out Familiar Climates

Obolensky, Marguerite, Marco Tabellini, and Charles Taylor. "Homeward Bound: How Migrants Seek Out Familiar Climates." HKS Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP24-001, January 2024.

Homeward Bound: How Migrants Seek Out Familiar Climates

Obolensky, Marguerite, Marco Tabellini, and Charles Taylor. "Homeward Bound: How Migrants Seek Out Familiar Climates." NBER Working Paper Series, January 2024.

Advanced economies will experience subdued growth, outlook for emerging markets is varied

Dynan, Karen. "Advanced economies will experience subdued growth, outlook for emerging markets is varied." Peterson Institute for International Economics (September 29, 2023).

PIIE projects global economy poised for soft landing

Dynan, Karen. "PIIE projects global economy poised for soft landing." Peterson Institute for International Economics (September 26, 2023).

Irrigation and Climate Change: Long-run Adaptation and its Externalities

Taylor, Charles A. "Irrigation and Climate Change: Long-run Adaptation and its Externalities." March 2023.

Three Key Issues for Post-pandemic Monetary Policy

Summers, Lawrence H. "Three Key Issues for Post-pandemic Monetary Policy." Cato Policy Report, November/December 2022.

The performance of PPP and publicly procured road projects: evidence from India

Deep, Akash, Mojahedul Islam Nayyer, and Thillai Rajan A. "The performance of PPP and publicly procured road projects: evidence from India." Assessing the Performance Advantage of Public-Private Partnerships. Ed. Stefan Verweij, Ingmar van Meerkerk, and Carter Casady. Edward Elgar, 2022, 156-183.

Chapter 13: Economists' analyses of technological change

Scherer, F.M. "Chapter 13: Economists' analyses of technological change." Elgar Encyclopedia on the Economics of Knowledge and Innovation. Ed. Cristiano Antonelli. Elgar, 2022, 115-119.

Martin Weitzman: A Gift That Keeps on Giving

Stavins, Robert N., and Gernot Wagner. "Martin Weitzman: A Gift That Keeps on Giving." Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists 9.5 (September 2022): 843-850.

An Econometric Model of International Growth Dynamics for Long-Horizon Forecasting

Müller, Ulrich K., James H. Stock, and Mark W. Watson. "An Econometric Model of International Growth Dynamics for Long-Horizon Forecasting." The Review of Economics and Statistics 104.5 (September 2022): 857-876.

Comparing Past and Present Inflation

Bolhuis, Marijn A., Judd N. L. Cramer, and Lawrence H. Summers. "Comparing Past and Present Inflation." Review of Finance 26.5 (September 2022): 1073-1100.

The Coming Rise in Residential Inflation

Bolhuis, Marijn A., Judd N. L. Cramer, and Lawrence H. Summers. "The Coming Rise in Residential Inflation." Review of Finance 26.5 (September 2022): 1051-1072.

The Aftermath of Debt Surges

Kose, M. Ayhan, Franziska L. Ohnsorge, Carmen M. Reinhart, and Kenneth S. Rogoff. "The Aftermath of Debt Surges." Annual Review of Economics 14.1 (August 2022): 637-663.

Bad news for the Fed from the Beveridge space

Blanchard, Olivier, Alex Domash, and Lawrence Summers. "Bad news for the Fed from the Beveridge space." Peterson Institute for International Economics Policy Briefs, July 2022.

Measuring real activity using a weekly economic index

Lewis, Daniel J., Karel Mertens, James H. Stock, and Mihir Trivedi. "Measuring real activity using a weekly economic index." Journal of Applied Econometrics 37.4 (June/July 2022): 667-687.

Hidden Defaults

Horn, Sebastian, Carmen Reinhart, and Christoph Trebesch. "Hidden Defaults." American Economics Papers and Proceedings 112 (May 2022): 531-535.

The Reversal Problem: Development Going Backwards: Development Going Backwards

Olaberria, Eduardo, and Carmen Reinhart. "The Reversal Problem: Development Going Backwards: Development Going Backwards." Let's Talk Development, The World Bank, April 15, 2022.

Is Another Food Crisis Unfolding?

Graf Von Luckner, Clemens, Kathryn Holston, and Carmen Reinhart. "Is Another Food Crisis Unfolding?" Let’s Talk Development, The World Bank, April 15, 2022.

A labor market view on the risks of a U.S. hard landing

Domash, Alex, and Lawrence H. Summers. "A labor market view on the risks of a U.S. hard landing." NBER Working Paper Series, April 2022.

Shining a Light on Debt

Pazarbasioglu, Ceyla, and Carmen M. Reinhart. "Shining a Light on Debt." Finance & Development 59.001 (March 2022): 10-13.

From Health Crisis to Financial Distress

Reinhart, Carmen M. "From Health Crisis to Financial Distress." IMF Economic Review 70.1 (March 2022): 4-31.

The Economic Consequences of the Ukraine War

Furman, Jason. "The Economic Consequences of the Ukraine War." Project Syndicate. February 25, 2022.

Hidden Defaults

Horn, Sebastian, Carmen M. Reinhart, and Christoph Trebesch. "Hidden Defaults." World Bank, Policy Research Working Paper Series, February 2022.

Rethinking How We Score Capital Gains Tax Reform

Sarin, Natasha, Lawrence Summers, Owen Zidar, and Eric Zwick. "Rethinking How We Score Capital Gains Tax Reform." Tax Policy and the Economy 36 (2022): 1-33.

Tipping point dynamics in global land use

Taylor, Charles A., and James Rising. "Tipping point dynamics in global land use." Environmental Research Letters 16.12 (December 2021): 125012.

Market expectations of a warming climate

Schlenker, Wolfram, and Charles A. Taylor. "Market expectations of a warming climate." Journal of Financial Economics 142.2 (November 2021): 627-640.

The Virus, Vaccination, and Voting

Frankel, Jeffrey A., and Randy Kotti. "The Virus, Vaccination, and Voting." HKS Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP21-021, August 2021.

Violent conflict exacerbated drought-related food insecurity between 2009 and 2019 in sub-Saharan Africa

Anderson, Weston, Charles A. Taylor, Sonali McDermid, Elisabeth Ilboudo-Nébié, Richard Seager, Wolfram Schlenker, Fabien Cottier, Alex de Sherbinin, Dara Mendeloff, and Kelsey Markey. "Violent conflict exacerbated drought-related food insecurity between 2009 and 2019 in sub-Saharan Africa." Nature Food 2.8 (August 2021): 603-615.

The G20 and the World Economy: Performance and Prospects

Jorgenson, Dale W., and Khuong M. Vu. "The G20 and the World Economy: Performance and Prospects." Journal of Policy Modeling 43.4 (July/August 2021): 770-782.

America’s False Imbalance Syndrome

Frankel, Jeffrey A. "America’s False Imbalance Syndrome." The Project Syndicate, June 2021.

How Much Have Childcare Challenges Slowed the US Jobs Market Recovery?

Furman, Jason, Melissa Kearney, and Wilson Powell III. "How Much Have Childcare Challenges Slowed the US Jobs Market Recovery?" Peterson Institute for International Economics, May 2021.

What Three Economists Taught Us About Currency Regimes

Frankel, Jeffrey A. "What Three Economists Taught Us About Currency Regimes." The Project Syndicate, April 2021.

Biden Administration’s Sensible Stimulus

Frankel, Jeffrey A. "Biden Administration’s Sensible Stimulus." The Project Syndicate, March 2021.

An Economist’s Guide to Epidemiology
Models of Infectious Disease

Avery, Christopher, William Bossert, Adam Clark, Glenn Ellison, and Sara Fisher Ellison. "An Economist’s Guide to Epidemiology Models of Infectious Disease." Journal of Economic Perspectives 34.4 (Fall 2020): 79-104.

The Future of Carbon Offset Markets

Lee, Henry, and Abigail Mayer. "The Future of Carbon Offset Markets." Environment and Natural Resources Program, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, October 22, 2020.

Price of Gold Should Not Determine US Monetary Policy

Frankel, Jeffrey A. "Price of Gold Should Not Determine US Monetary Policy." The Guardian, August 2020.

The Pandemic Pain of Emerging Markets

Frankel, Jeffrey A. "The Pandemic Pain of Emerging Markets." Project Syndicate, July 2020.

Saudi Arabia’s Energy Infrastructure Under Attack. What’s Next?

De Blasio, Nicola, and Henry Lee. "Saudi Arabia’s Energy Infrastructure Under Attack. What’s Next?" National Interest, October 6, 2019.

More highways should be built by States

Rajan, Thillai, and Akash Deep. "More highways should be built by States." The Hindu Business Line. September 13, 2019.

Recent U.S. Economic Performance and Prospects for Future Growth

Jorgenson, Dale W., Mun Ho, and Jon Samuels. "Recent U.S. Economic Performance and Prospects for Future Growth." Journal of Policy Modeling 41.3 (May 2019): 459-476.

The Role of Electric Vehicles in Decarbonizing China’s Transportation Sector

Qiao, Qinyu, and Henry Lee. "The Role of Electric Vehicles in Decarbonizing China’s Transportation Sector." Environment and Natural Resources Program, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, April 2019.

How funding from multilateral agencies aids road projects

Rajan, Thillai, and Akash Deep. "How funding from multilateral agencies aids road projects." Mint. January 28, 2019.

Realizing the Potential of PPPs to Advance Asia's Infrastructure Development

Deep, Akash, Jungwook Kim and Minsoo Lee, eds. Realizing the Potential of PPPs to Advance Asia's Infrastructure Development. Asian Development Bank, 2019.

GDP as a Measure of Economic Well-Being

Dynan, Karen, and Louise Sheiner. "GDP as a Measure of Economic Well-Being." Hutchins Center, Brookings Institution, August 2018.

Household Debt

Dynan, Karen. "Household Debt." Milken Institute Review. April 27, 2018.

How to Convene an International Health or Development Commission: Ten Key Steps

Yamey, Gavin, Lawrence H. Summers, Dean T. Jamison, and Jessica Brinton. "How to Convene an International Health or Development Commission: Ten Key Steps." Health Policy and Planning 33.3 (April 2018): 429–435.

African Regional Economic Integration: The Emergence, Evolution, and Impact of Institutional Innovation

Juma, Calestous, and Francis Mangeni. "African Regional Economic Integration: The Emergence, Evolution, and Impact of Institutional Innovation." HKS Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP18-003, January 2018.

Why has Regional Income Convergence in the US Declined?

Shoag, Daniel, and Peter Ganong. "Why has Regional Income Convergence in the US Declined?" Journal of Urban Economics 102 (November 2017): 76-90.

Implications for Tax Policy of Lower Trend Productivity Growth

Dynan, Karen. "Implications for Tax Policy of Lower Trend Productivity Growth." Peterson Institute for International Economics, November 2017.

Increasing the Economic Security of Older Women

Brown, Jason and Karen Dynan. "Increasing the Economic Security of Older Women." The 51% - Driving Growth through Women's Economic Participation. Brookings Institution, 2017.