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Crowd of Black Lives Matters demonstrators marching in the street.
Feature: The Democratic Necessity of Reckoning

Erica Chenoweth reviews scholarship that overwhelmingly shows the Black Lives Matter movement generated high levels of public awareness about systemic racism and increased support for criminal justice reform.

Electronic stock ticker board with numbers and arabic letters.
Feature: Against Rule-of-Thumb Economics

Dani Rodrik argues against neoliberalism’s universal rule-of-thumb approach and for economic analyses grounded in contextual dependencies.

Several hands of team members covering one another in a huddle above a work table.
Feature: Leaders’ Psychological Bravery

Dana Born explores what skills leaders need to cultivate psychological safety on their teams and across their organizations.

Dollars and Euros piled on top of one another.
Feature: Dollar vs. Euro as International Reserve Currencies

Jeffrey Frankel explores the strengths and weaknesses of using the Dollar and the Euro as international reserve currencies.

Harvard Kennedy School faculty disseminate their research in working publications and papers that contribute to public knowledge and fuel policy innovation. This list features recent faculty publications, including journal articles, books, edited volumes, research papers, and public testimony.

Faculty Publications

High and Rising US Federal Debt: Causes and Implications

Dynan, Karen. "High and Rising US Federal Debt: Causes and Implications." Building a More Resilient US Economy. Ed. Melissa S. Kearney, Justin Schardin, and Luke Pardue. Asen Economic Strategy Group, 2023.

Debt Distress on China's Belt and Road

Horn, Sebastian, Bradley C. Parks, Carmen M. Reinhart, and Christoph Trebesch. "Debt Distress on China's Belt and Road." AEA Papers and Proceedings 113 (May 2023): 131-34.

Exchange Rate Volatility and Monetary Policy

Ilzetzki, Ethan, Carmen Reinhart, and Kenneth Rogoff. "Exchange Rate Volatility and Monetary Policy." Vox EU, April 4, 2023.

China as an International Lender of Last Resort

Horn, Sebastian, Bradley C. Parks, Carmen M. Reinhart, and Cristoph Trebesch. "China as an International Lender of Last Resort." World Bank Policy Research Working Paper Series, March 2023.

Learning How to Build Back Better through Clean Energy Policy Evaluation

Aldy, Joseph. "Learning How to Build Back Better through Clean Energy Policy Evaluation." HKS Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP22-010, August 2022.

The Quants in the Room: How Much Power Do Economists Really Have?

Furman, Jason. "The Quants in the Room: How Much Power Do Economists Really Have?" Review of by Thinking Like an Economist: How Efficiency Replaced Equality in US. Public Policy. ed. Elizabeth Popp Berman. Foreign Affairs, 101.4, 2022: 182-189.

Rethinking Exchange Rate Regimes

Ilzetzki, Ethan, Carmen Reinhart, and Kenneth Rogoff. "Rethinking Exchange Rate Regimes." Handbook of International Economics. Ed. Gita Gopinath, Elhanan Helpman, and Kenneth S. Rogoff. Elsevier, 2022, 91-145.

Why Did (Almost) No One See the Inflation Coming?

Furman, Jason. "Why Did (Almost) No One See the Inflation Coming?" Intereconomics 57 (2022): 79-86.

Infrastructure Finance

Deep, Akash. "Infrastructure Finance." Infrastructure Economics and Policy: International Perspectives. Ed. Jose A. Gomez-Ibanez and Zhi Liu. Lincoln Institute of Land Policy, 2022, 213-238.

What the Federal Reserve Should Do Now: An Elaboration

Furman, Jason. "What the Federal Reserve Should Do Now: An Elaboration." Peterson Institute for International Economics, November 18, 2021.

Decrypting New Age International Capital Flows

Graf von Luckner, Clemens, Carmen M. Reinhart, and Kenneth S. Rogoff. "Decrypting New Age International Capital Flows." NBER Working Paper Series, October 2021.

Rethinking Exchange Rate Regimes

Ilzetzki, Ethan, Carmen M. Reinhart, and Kenneth S. Rogoff. "Rethinking Exchange Rate Regimes." NBER Working Paper Series, October 2021.

The Aftermath of Debt Surges

Kose, M. Ayhan, Franziska L. Ohnsorge, Carmen M. Reinhart, and Kenneth S. Rogoff. "The Aftermath of Debt Surges." NBER Working Paper Series, September 2021.

The role of childcare challenges in the US jobs market recovery during the COVID-19 pandemic

Furman, Jason, Melissa S. Kearney, and Wilson Powell. "The role of childcare challenges in the US jobs market recovery during the COVID-19 pandemic." NBER Working Paper Series, June 2021.

From Health Crisis to Financial Distress

Reinhart, Carmen. "From Health Crisis to Financial Distress." World Bank Policy Research Working Paper Series, April 2021.

External sovereign debt restructurings: Delay and replay

Graf von Luckner, Clemens, Josefin Meyer, Carmen Reinhart, and Christoph Trebesch. "External sovereign debt restructurings: Delay and replay." VoxEU. March 2021.

Comparison of toll and annuity PPPs: a case study of highway projects in India

Mangu, Samhita, Thillai Rajan Annamalai, and Akash Deep. "Comparison of toll and annuity PPPs: a case study of highway projects in India." Built Environment Project and Asset Management 11.1 (February 2021): 103-120.

The quiet financial crisis

Reinhart, Carmen. "The quiet financial crisis." World Bank Blogs: Let's Talk Development. January 2021.

La depresión de la pandemia: la economía mundial nunca volverá a ser la misma

Reinhart, Carmen, and Vincent Reinhart. "La depresión de la pandemia: la economía mundial nunca volverá a ser la misma." Foreign affairs: Latinoamérica 21.1 (January 2021): 106-114.

The Crisis Opportunity: What It Will Take to Build Back a Better Economy

Furman, Jason. "The Crisis Opportunity: What It Will Take to Build Back a Better Economy." Foreign Affairs 100.1 (January/February 2021): 25-35.

US Unemployment Insurance in the Pandemic and Beyond

Furman, Jason. "US Unemployment Insurance in the Pandemic and Beyond." Peterson Institute for International Economics, July 2020.

National Fiscal Policies to Fight Recessions in US States

Dynan, Karen, and Douglas Elmendorf. "National Fiscal Policies to Fight Recessions in US States." AEA Papers and Proceedings 110 (May 2020): 131-136.

Measuring Household Wealth in the Panel Study of Income Dynamics: The Role of Retirement Assets

Dynan, Karen. "Measuring Household Wealth in the Panel Study of Income Dynamics: The Role of Retirement Assets." Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, September 2019.

Central Banks Should Forget About Achieving 2 Percent Inflation

Frankel, Jeffrey A. "Central Banks Should Forget About Achieving 2 Percent Inflation." The Globe and Mail, July 28, 2019.

Moore Problems for the Fed?

Frankel, Jeffrey A. "Moore Problems for the Fed?" Project Syndicate, April 27, 2019.

Efficient Division When Preferences are Private: Using the Expected Externality Mechanism

Aperjis, Christina, Maciej Kotowski, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Efficient Division When Preferences are Private: Using the Expected Externality Mechanism." HKS Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP19-014, April 2019.

Sovereign Bonds since Waterloo

Meyer, Josefin, Carmen M. Reinhart, and Christoph Trebesch. "Sovereign Bonds since Waterloo." HKS Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP19-009, February 2019.

The Ripple Effects of the U.S. Government Shutdown

Bilmes, Linda J., and W. Scott Gould. "The Ripple Effects of the U.S. Government Shutdown." Barron's. January 22, 2019.

Should the Fed Be Constrained?

Frankel, Jeffrey A. "Should the Fed Be Constrained?" HKS Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP19-003, December 2018.

Negative Nominal Interest Rates and the Bank Lending Channel

Eggertsson, Gauti B., Ragnar E. Juelsrud, Lawrence H. Summers, and Ella Getz Wold. "Negative Nominal Interest Rates and the Bank Lending Channel." January 2019.

George HW Bush Was Fiscally Responsible – Unlike Donald Trump

Frankel, Jeffrey A. "George HW Bush Was Fiscally Responsible – Unlike Donald Trump." The Guardian, December 11, 2018.

The Crisis Next Time: What We Should Have Learned from 2008

Reinhart, Carmen, and Vincent Reinhart. "The Crisis Next Time: What We Should Have Learned from 2008." Foreign Affairs 97.6 (November/December 2018): 84-97.

Stock Price Rewards to Climate Saints and Sinners: Evidence from the Trump Election

Ramelli, Stefano, Alexander F. Wagner, Richard J. Zeckhauser, and Alexandre Ziegler. "Stock Price Rewards to Climate Saints and Sinners: Evidence from the Trump Election." HKS Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP18-037, September 2018.

The Unheard Nerds: How Economists Can Talk So Policymakers Will Listen

Dynan, Karen. "The Unheard Nerds: How Economists Can Talk So Policymakers Will Listen." Foreign Affairs. November/December 2018.

Alma-Ata at 40 Years: Reflections from the Lancet Commission on Investing in Health

Watkins, David A., Gavin Yamey, Marco Schäferhoff, Olusoji Adeyi, George Alleyne, Ala Alwan, Seth Berkley et al. "Alma-Ata at 40 Years: Reflections from the Lancet Commission on Investing in Health." The Lancet 392.10156 (October 2018): 1434-1460.

Key Issues Facing California's GHG Cap-and-Trade System for 2021-2030

Schatzki, Todd, and Robert N. Stavins. "Key Issues Facing California's GHG Cap-and-Trade System for 2021-2030." HKS Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP18-025, July 2018.

The Fiscal Opacity Cycle: How America Hid the Costs of the Wars in Iraq and Afghanistan

Bilmes, Linda J. "The Fiscal Opacity Cycle: How America Hid the Costs of the Wars in Iraq and Afghanistan." Toward A Just Society: Joseph Stiglitz and Twenty-First Century Economics. Ed. Martin Guzman. Columbia University Press, 2018, 457-478.

Aging, Output Per Capita and Secular Stagnation

Eggertsson, Gauti B., Manuel Lancastre, and Lawrence H. Summers. "Aging, Output Per Capita and Secular Stagnation." National Bureau of Economic Research, August 2018.

On Market-Based Approaches to the Valuation of Capital

Sarin, Natasha, and Lawrence H. Summers. "On Market-Based Approaches to the Valuation of Capital." June 2018.

Secular Stagnation and Macroeconomic Policy

Summers, Lawrence H. "Secular Stagnation and Macroeconomic Policy." IMF Economic Review 66.2 (June 2018): 226–250.

Taxes for Health: Evidence Clears the Air

Summers, Lawrence H. "Taxes for Health: Evidence Clears the Air." The Lancet 391.10134 (May 2018): 1974-1976.

The Permanent Effects of Fiscal Consolidations

Fatas, Antonio, and Lawrence H. Summers. "The Permanent Effects of Fiscal Consolidations." Journal of International Economics 112 (May 2018): 238-250.

Capital Controls: Myth and Reality

Magud, Nicolas E., Carmen M. Reinhart, and Kenneth S. Rogof. "Capital Controls: Myth and Reality." Annals of Economics and Finance 19.1 (May 2018): 1-47.

Rethinking the Macroeconomics of Resource-Rich Countries

Arezki, Rabah, Raouf Boucekkine, Jeffrey A. Frankel, and Rick van der Ploeg, eds. Rethinking the Macroeconomics of Resource-Rich Countries. Center for Economic Policy Research, 2018.

Macroeconomic Effects of the 2017 Tax Reform

Barro, Robert J., and Jason Furman. "Macroeconomic Effects of the 2017 Tax Reform." Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (Spring 2018).

Investment versus Output Subsidies: Implications of Alternative Incentives for Wind Energy

Aldy, Joseph, Todd Gerarden, and Richard Sweeney. "Investment versus Output Subsidies: Implications of Alternative Incentives for Wind Energy." HKS Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP18-012, March 2018.

Excess Prices for Drugs in Medicare: Diagnosis and Prescription

Frank, Richard G., and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Excess Prices for Drugs in Medicare: Diagnosis and Prescription." HKS Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP18-005, January 2018.

African Regional Economic Integration: The Emergence, Evolution, and Impact of Institutional Innovation

Juma, Calestous, and Francis Mangeni. "African Regional Economic Integration: The Emergence, Evolution, and Impact of Institutional Innovation." HKS Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP18-003, January 2018.

To Understand the Tax Reform Bill, Use Good Old Math and History

Frankel, Jeffrey A. "To Understand the Tax Reform Bill, Use Good Old Math and History." Hill, December 10, 2017.

The Efficiency Consequences of Heterogeneous Behavioral Responses to Energy Fiscal Policies

Houde, Sebastien, and Joseph E. Aldy. "The Efficiency Consequences of Heterogeneous Behavioral Responses to Energy Fiscal Policies." HKS Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP17-047, December 2017.