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Harvard Kennedy School faculty disseminate their research in working papers and publications that contribute to public knowledge and fuel policy innovation. This list features recent faculty publications, including journal articles, books, edited volumes, research papers, and public testimony.

Faculty Papers and Publications

Ma, Siyu, Yair Tauman, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Deterrence Games and the Disruption of Information." HKS Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP20-026, August 2020.
Wagner, Alexander F., Richard J. Zeckhauser, and Alexandre Ziegler. "The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act: Which Firms Won? Which Lost?" HKS Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP20-018, June 2020.
King, David C., Benjamin Schneer, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Why Party Leaders Tend to Be Extremists." HKS Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP20-015, June 2020.
Aldy, Joseph, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Three Prongs for Prudent Climate Policy." HKS Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP20-009, April 2020.
Mukharji, Aroop, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Bound to Happen: Explanation Bias in Historical Analysis." Journal of Applied History 1 (December 2019): 1-23.
Mukharji, Aroop, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Bound to Happen: Explanation Bias in Historical Analysis." HKS Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP19-032, October 2019.
Nelson, Jonathan K., and Richard Zeckhauser. "Risky Business: Commissioning Portraits in Renaissance Italy." HKS Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP19-024, July 2019.
Mellers, Barbara, Philip E. Tetlock, Joshua Baker, Jeffrey Friedman, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Improving the Accuracy of Geopolitical Risk Assessments." The Future of Risk Management. Ed. Howard Kunreuther, Robert J. Meyer, and Erwann O. Michel-Kerjan. University of Pennsylvania Press, July 2019, 1-28.
Zeckhauser, Richard. "Strategic Sorting: The Role of Ordeals in Health Care." HKS Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP19-023, June 2019.
Green, John, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Thunder Versus Lightning: A Performance and Cost Analysis of the A-10 “Warthog” Versus the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter." Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis 10.3 (2019): 434-468.
Aperjis, Christina, Maciej Kotowski, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Efficient Division When Preferences are Private: Using the Expected Externality Mechanism." HKS Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP19-014, April 2019.
Robinson, Lisa A., W. Kip Viscusi, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Efficient Warnings, Not “Wolf or Puppy” Warnings." The Future of Risk Management. Ed. Howard Kunreuther, Robert J. Meyer, and Erwann O. Michel-Kerjan. University of Pennsylvania Press, 2019.
Ramelli, Stefano, Alexander F. Wagner, Richard J. Zeckhauser, and Alexandre Ziegler. "Stock Price Rewards to Climate Saints and Sinners: Evidence from the Trump Election." HKS Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP18-037, September 2018.
Wagner, Alexander F., Richard J. Zeckhauser, and Alexandre Ziegler. "Company Stock Price Reactions to the 2016 Election Shock: Trump, Taxes, and Trade." Journal of Financial Economics 130 (November 2018): 428-451.
Horton, John J., and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Wielding Peer Effects in Online Production: Evidence from a Series of Field Experiments." October 2018.
Friedman, Jeffrey A., and Richard Zeckhauser. "Analytic Confidence and Political Decision Making: Theoretical Principles and Experimental Evidence from National Security Professionals." Political Psychology 39.5 (October 2018): 1069-1087.
Nelson, Jonathan K., and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Raphael, Superstar, and His Extraordinary Prices." Sources: Notes in the History of Art (Fall 2018): 15-23.
Keith, David, Peter Irvine, et al. "Governance of the Deployment of Solar Geoengineering." Harvard Project on Climate Agreements, October 2018.
Jelnov, Artyom, Yair Tauman, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Confronting an Enemy with Unknown Preferences: Deterrer or Provocateur?" European Journal of Political Economy 54 (September 2018): 124-143.
Mukharji, Aroop, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Back Channel Negotiations and Dangerous Waiting." Negotiation Journal (July 2018): 297-307.
Friedman, Jeffrey A., Joshua D. Baker, Barbara A. Mellers, Philip E. Tetlock, and Richard Zeckhauser. "The Value of Precision in Probability Assessment: Evidence from a Large-Scale Geopolitical Forecasting Tournament." International Studies Quarterly 62 (June 2018): 410-422.
Slusky, David J. G., and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Sunlight and Protection Against Influenza." HKS Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP18-007, February 2018.
Chen, Cuicui, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Collective Action in an Asymmetric World." Journal of Public Economics 158 (February 2018): 103-112.
Jelnov, Artyom, Yair Tauman, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Confronting an Enemy with Unknown Preferences: Deterrer or Provocateur?" HKS Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP18-006, January 2018.
Frank, Richard G., and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Excess Prices for Drugs in Medicare: Diagnosis and Prescription." HKS Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP18-005, January 2018.
Wagner, Alexander F., Richard J. Zeckhauser, and Alexandre Ziegler. "Unequal Rewards to Firms: Stock Market Responses to the Trump Election and the 2017 Corporate Tax Reform." AEA Papers and Proceedings 108 (January 2018): 590-596.
Sinaiko, Anna, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Enrollee Outcomes After Health Insurance Plan Terminations: A Diagnosis of Default Effects." Behavioural Public Policy 2.1 (2018): 56-77.
Frank, Richard G., and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "High-Priced Drugs in Medicare Part D: Diagnosis and Potential Prescription." January 2018.
Kotowski, Maciej, and Richard Zeckhauser. "If Many Seek, Ye Shall Find: Search Externalities and New Goods." American Economic Journal: Microeconomics 9.4 (November 2017): 42-73.
Levy, Dan, Joshua Yardley, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Getting an Honest Answer: Clickers in the Classroom." Journal of the Scholarship of Teaching and Learning 17.4 (October 2017): 104-125.
Zeckhauser, Richard. "Howard Raiffa and Our Responsibility to Rationality." Negotiation Journal 33.4 (October 2017): 329-332.
Wagner, Alexander F., Richard J. Zeckhauser, and Alexandre Ziegler. "Paths to Convergence: Stock Price Adjustment After the Trump Election Shock." HKS Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP17-039, September 2017 (Updated July 2018).
Friedman, Jeffrey A., Jennifer S. Lerner, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Behavioral Consequences of Probabilistic Precision: Experimental Evidence from National Security Professionals." International Organization 71.4 (Fall 2017): 803-826.
Jelnov, Artyom, Yair Tauman, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Attacking the Unknown Weapons of a Potential Bomb Builder: The Impact of Intelligence on the Strategic Interaction." Games and Economic Behavior 104 (July 2017): 177-189.
Nguyen, Vinh, Anh Tran, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Stock Splits to Profit Insider Trading: Lessons from an Emerging Market." Journal of International Money and Finance 74 (June 2017): 69-87.
Dzielinski, Michal, Alexander F. Wagner, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Straight Talkers and Vague Talkers: The Effects of Managerial Style in Earnings Conference Calls." HKS Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP17-017, May 2017.
Wernerfelt, Nils, David J. G. Slusky, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Second Trimester Sunlight and Asthma: Evidence from Two Independent Studies." American Journal of Health Economics 3.2 (Spring 2017): 227-253.
Zeckhauser, Richard. "Collaborative is Superadditive in Political Economics." Collaborative Research in Economics: The Wisdom of Working Together. Ed. Szenberg, Michael, and Lall B. Ramrattan. Palgrave Macmillan, 2017, 163-182.
Rogers, Todd, Richard Zeckhauser, Francesca Gino, Michael I. Norton, and Maurice E. Schweitzer. "Artful Paltering: The Risks and Rewards of Using Truthful Statements to Mislead Others." Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 112.3 (March 2017): 456-473.
Wagner, Alexander F., Richard J. Zeckhauser, and Alexandre Ziegler. "Company Stock Reactions to the 2016 Election Shock: Trump, Taxes and Trade." HKS Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP17-005, February 2017.
Zeckhauser, Richard. "Thomas Crombie Schelling (1921-2016): A Pioneering Game Theorist Who Made the World a Safer Place." Science 355.6327 (February 2017): 10.
Zeckhauser, Richard. "Human Hunters and Nonhuman Predators: Fundamental Differences." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 114.1 (January 2017): 13-14.
Roy, Devjani, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Ignorance: Literary Light on Decision's Dark Corner." Routledge Handbook of Behavioral Economics. Ed. Frantz, Roger, Shu-Heng Chen, Kurt Dopfer, Floris Heukelom, and Shabnam Mousavi. Routledge, 2017, 230-249.
Viscusi, W. Kip, and Richard J. Zeckhauser. "Recollection Bias and Its Underpinnings: Lessons from Terrorism Risk Assessments." Risk Analysis 37.5 (January 2017): 969-981.
Bohnet, Iris, Benedikt Herrmann, Maliheh Paryavi, Ahn Tran, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Improving Outcomes in the Trust Game: The Games People Choose in Oman, the United States, and Vietnam." Trust in Social Dilemmas. Oxford University Press, 2017.
Sinaiko, Anna, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Enrollee Choices After Their Health Plans Are Terminated: Default Effects Versus Persistent Preferences." HKS Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP16-055, December 2016.
Sinaiko, Anna D., and Richard Zeckhauser. "Forced to Choose, Again: The Effects of Defaults on Individuals in Terminated Health Plans." Nudging Health: Health Law and Behavioral Economics. Ed. Cohen, I. Glenn, Holly Fernandez Lynch, and Christopher T. Robertson. Johns Hopkins University Press, 2016, 326-338.
Robinson, Lisa A., W. Kip Viscusi, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Efficient Warnings, Not “Wolf or Puppy” Warnings." HKS Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP16-033, September 2016: Revised November 2016.
Tran, Ngoc-Khanh, Thao Vuong, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Loss Sequencing in Banking Networks: Threatened Banks as Strategic Dominoes." HKS Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP16-030, August 2016.
Fang, Hai, Karen N. Eggleston, John A. Rizzo, Scott Rozelle, and Richard Zeckhauser. "The Returns to Education in China: Evidence from the 1986 Compulsory Education Law." Policy Challenges from Demographic Change in China and India. Ed. Karen Eggleston. Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center, 2016.